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Claim LD09-SL-C05 (v1.0)

Across arXiv, bioRxiv and SSRN preprints (2018–2024), authors whose abstracts first showed signs of language-model writing then posted 36.2%, 52.9% and 59.8% more papers respectively; for their manuscripts, more complex writing went with lower odds of publication, the reverse of the pattern for human-written ones; and adopters drew on “more diverse prior work”, being 11.9% more likely to cite books and citing younger documents.

Provenance and status

Claim type
Estimate
Publication status
Eligible for publication, with qualifiers: source position
Verification state
Checked against the primary source. Who checked this claim is not recorded for it; claim checks so far were AI-led, and no person has checked claims against their sources.
Does not license
A causal effect (the authors “do not provide causal identification”), any change in research quality, or a collective narrowing
Limitations
Read in the authors’ version on arXiv, not the typeset journal text; the detector misses heavily edited text; the dating of adoption is disputed (LD09-SL-C06); arXiv’s founder is a co-author and arXiv’s own logs are used
Source (as cited)
Kusumegi, Yang, Ginsparg, de Vaan, Stuart & Yin, “Scientific production in the era of large language models,” Science 390, 2025 (author version arXiv:2601.13187)
Source type
Peer-reviewed journal article (recorded as “Peer-reviewed journal article (author version)”)
Institutional position
Independent academic (Cornell University and UC Berkeley Haas School of Business); a co-author founded arXiv, whose access logs the study uses
Maturity of the evidence
Contested evidence
Recorded date
15 October 2026
Currentness / correction
This is the current version. No correction or concern is recorded on its sources.

Sources this version cites

Version

This page shows version v1.0. Its record never changes, even when newer evidence arrives; the site may add a note to the page or withhold a figure not cleared for public use.

This pinned version is also the current version.

Versions: v1.0 · current

Raw record: every recorded field, with its coded values

All 25 canonical Claim fields, verbatim, with the coded values derived from them. The plain-language labels above are read from these.

Claim type (coded)
ESTIMATE (as printed: “ESTIMATE”)
Publication status (coded)
ELIGIBLE (SOURCE_POSITION) (as printed: “ELIGIBLE WITH SOURCE-POSITION QUALIFIER”)
Verification state (coded)
CONTENT_VERIFIED_PRIMARY
Source type (coded)
PEER_REVIEWED_JOURNAL_ARTICLE
Maturity (coded)
CONTESTED
#Canonical fieldCanonical value (verbatim)Normalized (Claim Value Vocabulary v1.0.2)
1CLAIM IDLD09-SL-C05—
2PUBLIC-FACING CLAIMAcross arXiv, bioRxiv and SSRN preprints (2018–2024), authors whose abstracts first showed signs of language-model writing then posted 36.2%, 52.9% and 59.8% more papers respectively; for their manuscripts, more complex writing went with lower odds of publication, the reverse of the pattern for human-written ones; and adopters drew on “more diverse prior work”, being 11.9% more likely to cite books and citing younger documents.—
3CLAIM TYPEESTIMATEbase_types: ESTIMATE
4RESEARCH STRANDA — Science and scholarship—
5MATURITYCONTESTEDstates: CONTESTED
6SOURCEKusumegi, Yang, Ginsparg, de Vaan, Stuart & Yin, “Scientific production in the era of large language models,” Science 390, 2025 (author version arXiv:2601.13187)source_ids: SRC-SL-KUSUMEGI-ET-AL-SCIENCE-2025
7SOURCE TYPEPeer-reviewed journal article (author version)classes: PEER_REVIEWED_JOURNAL_ARTICLE
8INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONIndependent academic (Cornell University and UC Berkeley Haas School of Business); a co-author founded arXiv, whose access logs the study uses—
9SCOPEPreprints in the natural sciences, computer science, economics and, through SSRN, the social sciences, law and humanities—
10DESIGNStacked event study around each author’s first flagged month; difference-in-differences for citation behaviour—
11SAMPLE / DATASETAbout 2.1 million preprints; author panels of 109,965 (arXiv), 43,218 (bioRxiv) and 15,370 (SSRN); 246 million arXiv access logs—
12MODEL / TOOL / VERSIONThe authors’ own detector of language-model text in abstracts—
13COMPARATORThe same authors before their first flagged paper, and similar authors not flagged as users—
14MAIN RESULTOutput +36.2% (arXiv), +52.9% (bioRxiv), +59.8% (SSRN), ranging 23.7–89.3% by field and author background; for language-model-assisted manuscripts, more complex writing predicts lower odds of publication, reversing the pattern for human-written ones; adopters are 11.9% more likely to cite books (not significant on SSRN), cite documents 0.379 years younger on average, with no evidence that the cited work is more impactful—
15INFERENTIAL TARGETHow language-model use changes the quantity of scientific output and the reading behind it—
16DOES NOT LICENSEA causal effect (the authors “do not provide causal identification”), any change in research quality, or a collective narrowing—
17VERIFICATION STATECONTENT VERIFIEDstate: CONTENT_VERIFIED_PRIMARY · verified_by: UNKNOWN
18LIMITATIONSRead in the authors’ version on arXiv, not the typeset journal text; the detector misses heavily edited text; the dating of adoption is disputed (LD09-SL-C06); arXiv’s founder is a co-author and arXiv’s own logs are used—
19CONTRADICTORY / SUPPORTING SOURCESMethod dispute: LD09-SL-C06; earlier narrowing with online search: LD09-SL-C03—
20GEOGRAPHY / LANGUAGEGlobal / English—
21DISTRIBUTIONAL LEDGERThe largest gains were for authors with Asian names at institutions in Asia (up to 89.3%), the smallest for authors with Caucasian names in English-speaking countries (23.7%)—
22R01 / FIELD-MAP LINKSLD-09, D3—
23WHAT WOULD CHANGE THIS CLAIM?A design that dates adoption independently of output, or evidence that the extra papers are not published—
24PUBLICATION STATUSELIGIBLE WITH SOURCE-POSITION QUALIFIERstate: ELIGIBLE · qualifiers: SOURCE_POSITION
25RECORDED DATE2026-10-15—

Field 22 references resolved against Field Map v0.2: LD-09 (LIVING_DEBATE); D3 (DOMAIN)

The sources as recorded, with their record IDs and coded source types:

Pinned Sources (field 6, version-specific)

  • “Kusumegi, Yang, Ginsparg, de Vaan, Stuart & Yin, “Scientific production in the era of large language models,” Science 390, 2025 (author version arXiv:2601.13187)” → Kusumegi et al. (2025), “Scientific production in the era…” (SRC-SL-KUSUMEGI-ET-AL-SCIENCE-2025--v1.0) — Kusumegi, Yang, Ginsparg, de Vaan, Stuart & Yin, “Scientific production in the era of large language models,” Science 390, 2025 (author version arXiv:2601.13187); class PEER_REVIEWED_JOURNAL_ARTICLE (explicit public provenance pin)

Cited by Living Debate versions

Cite this page

SocioLens project. (2026, October 15). Across arXiv, bioRxiv and SSRN preprints (2018–2024), authors whose abstracts first showed signs of language-model writing then posted 36.2%, 52.9% and 59.8% more papers respectively; for their manuscripts, more complex writing went with lower odds of publication, the reverse of the pattern for human-written ones; and adopters drew on “more diverse prior work”, being 11.9% more likely to cite books and citing younger documents [Claim LD09-SL-C05, version v1.0]. SocioLens. https://sociolens-web.pages.dev/claims/ld09-sl-c05/v1.0/

@misc{sociolens_ld09_sl_c05_v1_0,
  author = {{SocioLens project}},
  title = {Across arXiv, bioRxiv and SSRN preprints (2018–2024), authors whose abstracts first showed signs of language-model writing then posted 36.2\%, 52.9\% and 59.8\% more papers respectively; for their manuscripts, more complex writing went with lower odds of publication, the reverse of the pattern for human-written ones; and adopters drew on “more diverse prior work”, being 11.9\% more likely to cite books and citing younger documents.},
  year = {2026},
  date = {2026-10-15},
  howpublished = {\url{https://sociolens-web.pages.dev/claims/ld09-sl-c05/v1.0/}},
  note = {Claim LD09-SL-C05, version v1.0}
}

The link points to this version, whose record never changes. For a finding, cite the original study as well: SocioLens summarizes research and does not replace it.

Research-of-record provenance

Materialized by sociolens-materializer 0.6.0 at 2026-09-28T20:00:00.000Z; normalization contract SocioLens — Claim Value Vocabulary v1.0.2 — Pre-Spike Materialization Contract (v1.0.2). Content seal SHA-256 4305dfb9cd86b7c1e4c50d5ddac7399e45476e534db6ff582af6ec023c3eeca0.

Repository-authored inputs (not Drive exports)

  • SocioLens claim — LD09-SL-C05 v1.0 (v1.0) — written in the SocioLens repository by Project Lead (Claude, AI) on 2026-10-15; no Drive identity exists. Authority: AGENTS.md "Authority" (the Project Lead decides research content within the research-integrity rules) and the Owner's choice in the SocioLens project chat on 15 October 2026 to build the LD-09 debate; a new Claim, first version, written from the project's LD-09 source notes, checked against full texts or official abstracts. Block “ENTRY 05 — LD09-SL-C05” SHA-256 6e38aaff612e96e729224f56a95cb310f2725c57b4a1651b08487c67e21bc59a; fixture fixtures/authored/claims/LD09-SL-C05--v1.0.

Builder decisions (not Drive data)

  • VERSION = v1.0 — basis: Claim version taken from the repository-authored claim fixture version (SocioLens claim — LD09-SL-C05 v1.0); the first version of a new Claim of the LD-09 debate
  • CURRENT_POINTER = true — basis: repository-authored claim "SocioLens claim — LD09-SL-C05 v1.0" (Project Lead (Claude, AI), 2026-10-15); basis: AGENTS.md "Authority" (the Project Lead decides research content within the research-integrity rules) and the Owner's choice in the SocioLens project chat on 15 October 2026 to build the LD-09 debate; a new Claim, first version, written from the project's LD-09 source notes, checked against full texts or official abstracts
  • FIELD_6_SOURCE_REFERENCE = SRC-SL-KUSUMEGI-ET-AL-SCIENCE-2025--v1.0 — basis: field 6 of ENTRY 05 — LD09-SL-C05 cites "Kusumegi, Yang, Ginsparg, de Vaan, Stuart & Yin, “Scientific production in the era of large language models,” Science 390, 2025 (author version arXiv:2601.13187)"; the only field-6 segment of this ClaimVersion's repository-authored ledger block.
  • SOURCE_PROVENANCE_PIN = SRC-SL-KUSUMEGI-ET-AL-SCIENCE-2025--v1.0 — basis: explicit version-pinned public provenance of this ClaimVersion (Amendment v1.2 §6): the pinned field-6 Source record "Kusumegi, Yang, Ginsparg, de Vaan, Stuart & Yin, “Scientific production in the era of large language models,” Science 390, 2025 (author version arXiv:2601.13187)".