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Claim LD10-HQ-C02 (v1.0)

In preregistered UK experiments, post-training and prompting increased measured conversational persuasiveness by up to 51% and 27% relative, and higher persuasion was associated with lower factual accuracy.

Provenance and status

Claim type
Estimate
Publication status
Eligible for publication, with a qualifier
Verification state
Checked against the primary source. Who checked this claim is not recorded for it; claim checks so far were AI-led, and no person has checked claims against their sources.
Does not license
51-point opinion shifts, behaviour or population influence
Limitations
Paid opt-in exposure; relative metrics; UK only
Source (as cited)
Hackenburg et al., Science 2025 / arXiv full text
Source type
Peer-reviewed journal article (recorded as “Peer-reviewed article + full-text preprint”)
Institutional position
Academic + UK AISI
Maturity of the evidence
Rapidly maturing evidence
Recorded date
25 September 2026
Currentness / correction
This is the current version. No correction or concern is recorded on its sources.

Sources this version cites

Version

This is the current version, v1.0. Earlier versions stay available, and their records never change.

Versions: v1.0 · current

Raw record: every recorded field, with its coded values

All 25 canonical Claim fields, verbatim, with the coded values derived from them. The plain-language labels above are read from these.

Claim type (coded)
ESTIMATE (as printed: “ESTIMATE”)
Publication status (coded)
ELIGIBLE (QUALIFIED) (as printed: “ELIGIBLE WITH QUALIFIER”)
Verification state (coded)
CONTENT_VERIFIED_PRIMARY
Source type (coded)
PEER_REVIEWED_JOURNAL_ARTICLE
Maturity (coded)
RAPIDLY_MATURING
#Canonical fieldCanonical value (verbatim)Normalized (Claim Value Vocabulary v1.0.2)
1CLAIM IDLD10-HQ-C02—
2PUBLIC-FACING CLAIMIn preregistered UK experiments, post-training and prompting increased measured conversational persuasiveness by up to 51% and 27% relative, and higher persuasion was associated with lower factual accuracy.—
3CLAIM TYPEESTIMATEbase_types: ESTIMATE
4RESEARCH STRANDA — Controlled persuasion—
5MATURITYRAPIDLY MATURINGstates: RAPIDLY_MATURING
6SOURCEHackenburg et al., Science 2025 / arXiv full textsource_ids: SRC-LD10-HACKENBURG-SCIENCE-2025
7SOURCE TYPEPeer-reviewed article + full-text preprintclasses: PEER_REVIEWED_JOURNAL_ARTICLE
8INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONAcademic + UK AISI—
9SCOPEUK adults; 707 political issues; 2024–25—
10DESIGNThree preregistered RCTs—
11SAMPLE / DATASET76,977 responses from 42,357 people; 466,769 claims—
12MODEL / TOOL / VERSION19 LLMs incl. GPT-4o/GPT-4.5—
13COMPARATORPrompt/post-training variants and controls—
14MAIN RESULTUp to +51% relative post-training and +27% prompting; accuracy trade-off—
15INFERENTIAL TARGETDesign levers affecting immediate attitude change—
16DOES NOT LICENSE51-point opinion shifts, behaviour or population influence—
17VERIFICATION STATECONTENT VERIFIEDstate: CONTENT_VERIFIED_PRIMARY · verified_by: UNKNOWN
18LIMITATIONSPaid opt-in exposure; relative metrics; UK only—
19CONTRADICTORY / SUPPORTING SOURCESConsistent with 2026 throughput findings—
20GEOGRAPHY / LANGUAGEUK / English—
21DISTRIBUTIONAL LEDGERActors able to post-train/prompt systems may gain persuasive capacity—
22R01 / FIELD-MAP LINKSD7, D4b, L-C, R-1—
23WHAT WOULD CHANGE THIS CLAIM?Replication reversing lever ranking or field behavioural validation—
24PUBLICATION STATUSELIGIBLE WITH QUALIFIERstate: ELIGIBLE · qualifiers: QUALIFIED
25RECORDED DATE2026-09-25—

Field 22 references resolved against Field Map v0.2: D7 (DOMAIN); D4b (SUB_AREA); L-C (LENS); R-1 (LENS)

The sources as recorded, with their record IDs and coded source types:

Pinned Sources (field 6, version-specific)

  • “Hackenburg et al., Science 2025 / arXiv full text” → Hackenburg et al., Science 2025 / arXiv full text (SRC-LD10-HACKENBURG-SCIENCE-2025--v1.0) — Hackenburg et al., Science 2025 / arXiv full text; class PEER_REVIEWED_JOURNAL_ARTICLE (explicit public provenance pin)

Cited by Living Debate versions

Cite this page

SocioLens project. (2026, September 25). In preregistered UK experiments, post-training and prompting increased measured conversational persuasiveness by up to 51% and 27% relative, and higher persuasion was associated with lower factual accuracy [Claim LD10-HQ-C02, version v1.0]. SocioLens. https://sociolens-web.pages.dev/claims/ld10-hq-c02/v1.0/

@misc{sociolens_ld10_hq_c02_v1_0,
  author = {{SocioLens project}},
  title = {In preregistered UK experiments, post-training and prompting increased measured conversational persuasiveness by up to 51\% and 27\% relative, and higher persuasion was associated with lower factual accuracy.},
  year = {2026},
  date = {2026-09-25},
  howpublished = {\url{https://sociolens-web.pages.dev/claims/ld10-hq-c02/v1.0/}},
  note = {Claim LD10-HQ-C02, version v1.0}
}

The link points to this version, whose record never changes. For a finding, cite the original study as well: SocioLens summarizes research and does not replace it.

Research-of-record provenance

Materialized by sociolens-materializer 0.6.0 at 2026-09-28T20:00:00.000Z; normalization contract SocioLens — Claim Value Vocabulary v1.0.2 — Pre-Spike Materialization Contract (v1.0.2). Content seal SHA-256 d7164941482886f28e4161623c25e143919f06e536de68092863ca8b2cad2363.

Frozen Drive-derived inputs

  • R07 — LD-10 Canonical Claim Ledger v1.0 — LOCKED (v1.0) — Drive ID 1f9tgGnqv80_UyhW0kCgcnTgWNPlx-DYM; revision: NOT_EXPOSED_BY_DRIVE_TEXT_EXPORT; Drive modified ; block “ENTRY 02 — LD10-HQ-C02 ” SHA-256 9c3ab6975511cc102519dad42641fcd1002fa1a6fccb9848a322670168a714a8; SocioLens — Programme Status & Authority Register v0.6 status “CURRENT.”; frozen fixture fixtures/frozen/r07-ld10-claim-ledger-v1.0-canonical.

Builder decisions (not Drive data)

  • VERSION = v1.0 — basis: Claim version taken from the canonical ledger artifact version (R07 — LD-10 Canonical Claim Ledger v1.0); Implementation Architecture Selection §5 logical_id/version convention.
  • CURRENT_POINTER = true — basis: SocioLens — Programme Status & Authority Register v0.6 status for "R07 — LD-10 Canonical Claim Ledger v1.0 — LOCKED": "CURRENT."
  • FIELD_6_SOURCE_REFERENCE = SRC-LD10-HACKENBURG-SCIENCE-2025--v1.0 — basis: field 6 of ENTRY 02 — LD10-HQ-C02 cites "Hackenburg et al., Science 2025 / arXiv full text"; the frozen field-6 segment of this ClaimVersion's ledger block (fixtures/frozen/r07-ld10-claim-ledger-v1.0-canonical); Drive-derived identity authority (Issue #53 Source inventory, factory-hq decision HQ-ESC-sociolens-ld10-t5-20261011T050405Z-01 ruling 3 inventory S2): R07 Batch 01 lines 18, 20, 21, 47, 49, 50; ledger C02 fields 6/7/8; KEY EVIDENCE line 927 of the locked LD-10 Living Debate.
  • SOURCE_PROVENANCE_PIN = SRC-LD10-HACKENBURG-SCIENCE-2025--v1.0 — basis: Issue #5 proof rendering (Architecture Proof Protocol v0.1 AP-08 / Amendment v1.2 §6): explicit version-pinned public provenance of this ClaimVersion — the pinned field-6 Source record "Hackenburg et al., Science 2025 / arXiv full text"; Drive-derived identity authority (Issue #53 Source inventory, factory-hq decision HQ-ESC-sociolens-ld10-t5-20261011T050405Z-01 ruling 3 inventory S2): R07 Batch 01 lines 18, 20, 21, 47, 49, 50; ledger C02 fields 6/7/8; KEY EVIDENCE line 927 of the locked LD-10 Living Debate.