Ashokkumar, Hewitt, Ghezae & Willer, “Large language models can predict the results of social science experiments,” Nature 656:115–122 (2026)

Source SRC-LD07-ASHOKKUMAR-NATURE-2026

Open the original (DOI; link checked 2026-10-12)

Type of source: Peer-reviewed journal article
Institutional position: Independent academic; one author also industry-affiliated

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Claims that cite this source

LLM simulations can usefully forecast the relative pattern of treatment… Claim LD07-HQ-C05 (v1.0)
LLM simulations can usefully forecast the relative pattern of treatment… Claim LD07-HQ-C05 (v1.1)

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Source class (bibliographic): PEER_REVIEWED_JOURNAL_ARTICLE
Source-level roles: none
Visibility: PUBLIC_REFERENCE
Registry section: none
Registry “Linked claim” (logical Claim identity; never a pinned version): LD07-HQ-C05
Cited in field 6 of: LD07-HQ-C05--v1.0, LD07-HQ-C05--v1.1

Research-of-record provenance

Materialized by sociolens-materializer 0.6.0 at 2026-09-28T20:00:00.000Z; normalization contract SocioLens — Claim Value Vocabulary v1.0.2 — Pre-Spike Materialization Contract (v1.0.2). Content seal SHA-256 1d0e2ca09917a84f117f37a4cfbc0654abcec5f517d7c0518ac51057c201f836.

Frozen Drive-derived inputs

R03 — LD-07 Canonical Claim Ledger v1.0 — LOCKED (v1.0) — Drive ID 1xVz_LrQAA8EA1tPhVWIrDgOUU3Zidlg9; revision: NOT_EXPOSED_BY_DRIVE_TEXT_EXPORT; Drive modified 2026-09-29T04:31:14.120Z; block “ENTRY 05 — LD07-HQ-C05” SHA-256 1bde3e034b0890c118453eca52b1332ac22679f04989cf11b3a217a52a4a8f8c; SocioLens — Programme Status & Authority Register v0.6 status “CURRENT.”; frozen fixture fixtures/frozen/r03-ld07-claim-ledger-v1.0-canonical.

Repository-authored inputs (not Drive exports)

SocioLens claim revision — LD07-HQ-C05 v1.1 (v1.1) — written in the SocioLens repository by Project Lead (Claude, AI) on 2026-10-21; no Drive identity exists. Authority: AGENTS.md "Authority" (the Project Lead decides research content within the research-integrity rules) and docs/PROJECT.md "Research revisions" (a published claim changes only through a new version that states what changed and why). Block “ENTRY 05 — LD07-HQ-C05” SHA-256 2238d5e25e9b47450ea1e5b56dd054a5cd5b4b6596760b75f24f0617d1120026; fixture fixtures/authored/claim-revisions/LD07-HQ-C05--v1.1.

Builder decisions (not Drive data)

VERSION = v1.0 — basis: First SocioLens materialized record for this Source identity; no predecessor record exists (Publication System Amendment v1.2 §4; ruling-backed production identity materialized under Issue #39). SocioLens Source-record version, not the external source's edition, revision or version of record.
CURRENT_POINTER = true — basis: Publication System Amendment v1.2 §4: the sole SocioLens record version for this Source identity; the materialization manifest explicitly designates SRC-LD07-ASHOKKUMAR-NATURE-2026--v1.0 current.
VISIBILITY = PUBLIC_REFERENCE — basis: Explicit public provenance selection by LD07-HQ-C05--v1.0 (Issue #5 proof rendering (Architecture Proof Protocol v0.1 AP-08 / Amendment v1.2 §6): explicit version-pinned public provenance of this ClaimVersion — the pinned field-6 Source record "Ashokkumar, Hewitt, Ghezae & Willer, Nature 656:115–122 (2026), doi:10.1038/s41586-026-10742-x"; Drive-derived identity authority (Issue #39 Source inventory): Batch 02 §1; ledger C05 fields 6/7/8; KEY EVIDENCE.); LD07-HQ-C05--v1.1 (explicit version-pinned public provenance of this ClaimVersion (Amendment v1.2 §6): the pinned field-6 Source record "Ashokkumar, Hewitt, Ghezae & Willer, Nature 656:115–122 (2026), doi:10.1038/s41586-026-10742-x".) (Amendment v1.2 §4, §6).